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Zaglebie vs GKS Katowice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Nowogonski K.
Assist: Corluka J.
44'
Dabrowski D.
46'
Sub
Wolski B. In: Lukasiak K.
Out: Wolski B.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraklasa game between Zaglebie and GKS Katowice finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zaglebie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Zaglebie
20%
Draws
33%
GKS Katowice
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zaglebie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • GKS Katowice's 2 goals per match outpaces what Zaglebie have produced (1.21).
  • Model gives Zaglebie a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zaglebie Clean Sheet 16%
GKS Katowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie GKS Katowice
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.21 2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs GKS Katowice
2:1
Jan 30, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs GKS Katowice
0:2
Jul 28, 2025 Ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice vs Zaglebie
2:2
Mar 9, 2025 Ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice vs Zaglebie
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs GKS Katowice
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowogonski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kosidis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

GKS Katowice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie 41 / 100
GKS Katowice 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie GKS Katowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaglebie's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

GKS Katowice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Zaglebie went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie VS GKS Katowice
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaglebie

(Home)
03 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0
Legnica
20 Sept
Zaglebie
0 : 2
Wisla Plock
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3
Zaglebie
12 Sept
Zaglebie
2 : 1
GKS Katowice
07 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow
1 : 1
Zaglebie
Page 1 of 6

GKS Katowice

(Away)
03 Oct
GKS Katowice
1 : 1
Ostrava
19 Sept
GKS Katowice
3 : 2
Cracovia
12 Sept
Zaglebie
2 : 1
GKS Katowice
04 Sept
Piast Gliwice
3 : 0
GKS Katowice
30 Aug
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 3
GKS Katowice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
7 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 KS Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 11:17 5
18 Rakow Czestochowa 9 1 0 8 12:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)