Sport Picks
Zaglebie vs Korona Kielce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin 
Match Events
4'
4'
Mosor A.
Own Goal
30'
30'
Yakuba R.
39'
39'
Sub
Nalepa M. In: Michalski D.
Out: Nalepa M.
AI Match Summary
Zaglebie in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zaglebie.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zaglebie
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Korona Kielce haven't matched Zaglebie's recent run of results.
- Zaglebie are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Zaglebie Clean Sheet 68%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zaglebie | Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 2, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Korona Kielce
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Zaglebie
1:2
Aug 1, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Korona Kielce
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Korona Kielce
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Zaglebie
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zaglebie 95 / 100
Korona Kielce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zaglebie Korona Kielce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zaglebie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Zaglebie scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Korona Kielce conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Zaglebie stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Zaglebie VS Korona Kielce
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Zaglebie
(Home) 02 Nov
Zaglebie
1 : 0 Korona Kielce
23 Oct
Motor Lublin
2 : 2 Zaglebie
18 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0 Jagiellonia
10 Oct
Cracovia
3 : 1 Zaglebie
03 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0 Legnica
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Zaglebie
1 : 0 Korona Kielce
18 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0 Jagiellonia
03 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0 Legnica
20 Sept
Zaglebie
0 : 2 Wisla Plock
12 Sept
Zaglebie
2 : 1 GKS Katowice
Page 1 of 4
Korona Kielce
(Away) 02 Nov
Zaglebie
1 : 0 Korona Kielce
29 Oct
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 1 Korona Kielce
24 Oct
Korona Kielce
1 : 0 GKS Katowice
18 Oct
Lech Poznan
6 : 1 Korona Kielce
11 Oct
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0 Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Zaglebie
1 : 0 Korona Kielce
29 Oct
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 1 Korona Kielce
18 Oct
Lech Poznan
6 : 1 Korona Kielce
11 Oct
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0 Korona Kielce
03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1 Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 32:11 | 31 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 21:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Legia | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 23:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 24 |
| 5 | Zaglebie | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 22 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25:19 | 21 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 8 | Wisla | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:19 | 18 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:18 | 15 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 16 | Slask Wroclaw | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 17 | Rakow Czestochowa | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 19:29 | 9 |
| 18 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 17:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
