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Zaglebie vs Pogon Szczecin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Cuic F.
25'
Cojocaru V.
25'
Kocaba F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Zaglebie
30%
Draws
31%
Pogon Szczecin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zaglebie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pogon Szczecin average 1.24 goals a game right now, well clear of Zaglebie's 1.21.
  • Zaglebie are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Zaglebie Clean Sheet 16%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie Pogon Szczecin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Pogon Szczecin
0:0
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Zaglebie vs Pogon Szczecin
2:0
May 15, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Pogon Szczecin
0:1
Nov 24, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie
5:1
Feb 1, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie 36 / 100
Pogon Szczecin 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie Pogon Szczecin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaglebie's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pogon Szczecin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Zaglebie stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie VS Pogon Szczecin
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaglebie

(Home)
03 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0
Legnica
20 Sept
Zaglebie
0 : 2
Wisla Plock
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3
Zaglebie
12 Sept
Zaglebie
2 : 1
GKS Katowice
07 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow
1 : 1
Zaglebie
Page 1 of 6

Pogon Szczecin

(Away)
26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Udinese
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin
13 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0
KS Wieczysta Krakow
07 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Wisla Plock
03 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1
Pogon Szczecin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
7 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 KS Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 11:17 5
18 Rakow Czestochowa 9 1 0 8 12:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)