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Zaglebie vs Qarabag Agdam Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Leandro Andrade
8' Event
Kosidis M.
Penalty Missed
8' Event
Corluka J.

AI Match Summary

Qarabag Agdam in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Qarabag Agdam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zaglebie
20%
Draws
47%
Qarabag Agdam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Qarabag Agdam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Zaglebie haven't matched Qarabag Agdam's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Zaglebie a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Zaglebie Clean Sheet 18%
Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie Qarabag Agdam
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Zaglebie vs Qarabag Agdam
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie Compare

Top Goalscorer Corluka J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Qarabag Agdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Leandro Andrade
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zoubir A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie 41 / 100
Qarabag Agdam 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie Qarabag Agdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Zaglebie scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Qarabag Agdam conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Zaglebie has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie VS Qarabag Agdam
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaglebie

(Home)
20 Sept
Zaglebie
0 : 2
Wisla Plock
15 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 3
Zaglebie
12 Sept
Zaglebie
2 : 1
GKS Katowice
07 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow
1 : 1
Zaglebie
01 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3 : 2
Zaglebie
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Qarabag Agdam

(Away)
18 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 0
Safa Baku
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
27 Aug
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 4
Twente
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