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Zagora vs RNK Split

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Zagora Logo

Zagora

2 - 2
FT
RNK Split Logo

RNK Split

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Zagora
30%
Draws
33%
RNK Split
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zagora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • RNK Split have won more games recently than Zagora.
  • Zagora are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Zagora Clean Sheet 18%
RNK Split Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagora RNK Split
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2022 3. HNL South
Zagora vs RNK Split
2:2
Nov 13, 2021 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Zagora
4:1
Mar 20, 2021 3. HNL South
Zagora vs RNK Split
1:1
Aug 29, 2020 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Zagora
1:3
Sep 26, 2012 Croatian Cup
RNK Split vs Zagora
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagora 49 / 100
RNK Split 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagora RNK Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Zagora scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: RNK Split conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Zagora has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zagora VS RNK Split
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagora

(Home)
26 Sept
Lucko
1 : 3
Zagora
19 Sept
Zagora
5 : 0
Uljanik Pula
12 Sept
Solin
1 : 1
Zagora
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
05 Sept
Zagora
1 : 1
Dragovoljac
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RNK Split

(Away)
14 Feb
RNK Split
1 : 3
Din. Zagreb
19 Oct
RNK Split
2 : 0
Cibalia
27 Jul
Dugopolje
1 : 0
RNK Split
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)