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Zagora vs Uljanik Pula

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zagora host Uljanik Pula in the Druga NL. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Zagora at 1.62 goals for, 1.97 against; Uljanik Pula at 1.77 for, 1.52 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 2.00, favoring Uljanik Pula. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Zagora
35%
Draws
41%
Uljanik Pula
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Uljanik Pula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Uljanik Pula have won more games recently than Zagora.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Zagora Clean Sheet 10%
Uljanik Pula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagora Uljanik Pula
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.62 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagora 30 / 100
Uljanik Pula 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagora Uljanik Pula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uljanik Pula Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zagora scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Uljanik Pula let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Zagora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Uljanik Pula registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zagora VS Uljanik Pula
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagora

(Home)
12 Sept
Solin
1 : 1
Zagora
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
05 Sept
Zagora
1 : 1
Dragovoljac
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
26 Aug
Zagora
4 : 2
Bratstvo Jurovec
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Uljanik Pula

(Away)
11 Sept
Uljanik Pula
2 : 2
Lucko
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
30 Aug
Solin
1 : 3
Uljanik Pula
26 Aug
Tomislav DA
4 : 0
Uljanik Pula
21 Aug
Uljanik Pula
3 : 2
Dragovoljac
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uljanik Pula 4 3 1 0 11:5 10
2 Trnje 4 3 1 0 9:3 10
3 Bjelovar 4 3 0 1 12:6 9
4 Uskok Klis 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
5 Jarun 4 1 3 0 9:8 6
6 Radnik Krizevci 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
7 Lucko 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
8 Solin 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 NK Inker Zapresic 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
10 NK Koprivnica 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
11 Dragovoljac 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
12 Dugo Selo 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
13 Grobnican 4 1 1 2 3:9 4
14 Zagora 4 0 3 1 9:11 3
15 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
16 Slavonija Pozega 4 0 1 3 5:8 1
Promotion - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)