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Zagora vs Zadar Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2019/2020
Zagora Logo

Zagora

Wed, Sep 25, 2019
1 - 2
01:30 PM
Zadar Logo

Zadar

Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Gabric D.
64' Event
Anic J.
107' Event
Nakic R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zadar in this Croatian Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Zagora
20%
Draws
34%
Zadar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zagora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zadar lately — more wins on the board than Zagora.
  • Zagora are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Zadar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zadar, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zadar here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zagora Clean Sheet 10%
Zadar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagora Zadar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2019 Croatian Cup
Zagora vs Zadar
1:2
Feb 7, 2018 Club Friendly
Zadar vs Zagora
0:0
Sep 24, 2014 Croatian Cup
Zagora vs Zadar
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zagora Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabric D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Zadar Compare

Top Goalscorer Anic J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nakic R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagora 74 / 100
Zadar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagora Zadar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zadar conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Zagora's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Zagora stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zagora VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagora

(Home)
26 Sept
Lucko
1 : 3
Zagora
19 Sept
Zagora
5 : 0
Uljanik Pula
12 Sept
Solin
1 : 1
Zagora
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
05 Sept
Zagora
1 : 1
Dragovoljac
Page 1 of 6

Zadar

(Away)
07 Oct
GOSK Dubrovnik
3 : 0
Zadar
23 Oct
Zadar
0 : 3
Osijek
25 Sept
Zagora
1 : 2
Zadar
25 May
Medjimurje
4 : 1
Zadar
18 May
Zadar
5 : 1
Solin
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Varazdin 6
Maksimir 2
TBD -
Rudes -
Rijeka -
TBD -
Slavonac Komletinci 2
Buje 3
Opatija 3
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
Novigrad -
Karlovac 2
Nehaj Senj 0
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Istra 1961 -
TBD -
NK Dinamo Predavac 1
Kurilovec 3
Jadran Porec 3
Borac Imbriovec 1
TBD -
Zapresic -
Zadar -
TBD -
Papuk Orahovica 1
Zagora 5
Vuteks Sloga 2
Bednja Beletinec 1
TBD -
Osijek -
HNK Gorica 10
Zagorec Krapina 0
TBD -
NK Zagreb -
Mladost Petrinja 3
Medjimurje 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Bijelo Brdo 3
Primorac Biograd 1
TBD -
Cibalia -
Hrvace 3
Segesta 1
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Sibenik -
TBD -
NK Nedelisce 0
Slavonija Pozega 2
RNK Split -
TBD -
Jadran Luka Ploce 0
Belisce 1
Jaska Vinogradar -
TBD -
Mladost Klostar Podravski 1
Sloga Nova Gradiska 4
Oriolik 6
Suhopolje 2
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
1/16-finals
Varazdin 4
Rudes 2
Rijeka 11
Buje 0
Opatija 3
Novigrad 1
Karlovac 0
Din. Zagreb 7
Istra 1961 3
Kurilovec 2
Jadran Porec 3
Zapresic 7
Zadar 2
Zagora 1
Vuteks Sloga 0
Osijek 8
HNK Gorica 8
NK Zagreb 0
Mladost Petrinja 0
Hajduk Split 2
Bijelo Brdo 1
Cibalia 0
Hrvace 1
Slaven Belupo 2
Sibenik 5
Slavonija Pozega 1
RNK Split 1
Belisce 3
Jaska Vinogradar 2
Sloga Nova Gradiska 1
Oriolik 0
Lok. Zagreb 3
1/8-finals
Varazdin 1
Rijeka 2
Opatija 0
Din. Zagreb 3
Istra 1961 1
Zapresic 2
Zadar 0
Osijek 3
HNK Gorica 2
Hajduk Split 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Slaven Belupo 2
Sibenik 2
Belisce 1
Jaska Vinogradar 0
Lok. Zagreb 3
Quarter-finals
Rijeka 1
Din. Zagreb 0
Zapresic 0
Osijek 2
HNK Gorica 1
Slaven Belupo 2
Sibenik 0
Lok. Zagreb 4
Semi-finals
Rijeka 3
Osijek 2
Slaven Belupo 1
Lok. Zagreb 3
Final
Rijeka 1
Lok. Zagreb 0