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Zagorec Krapina vs Vrbovec Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vrbovec in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vrbovec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Zagorec Krapina
15%
Draws
46%
Vrbovec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vrbovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vrbovec have won more games recently than Zagorec Krapina.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Zagorec Krapina Clean Sheet 10%
Vrbovec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagorec Krapina Vrbovec
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.16 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2022 3. HNL Center
Zagorec Krapina vs Vrbovec
1:4
Oct 2, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Zagorec Krapina
1:1
Apr 10, 2021 3. HNL Center
Zagorec Krapina vs Vrbovec
1:0
Sep 12, 2020 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Zagorec Krapina
2:0
May 6, 2000 Prva NL
Vrbovec vs Zagorec Krapina
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagorec Krapina 34 / 100
Vrbovec 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagorec Krapina Vrbovec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrbovec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vrbovec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Zagorec Krapina scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Zagorec Krapina remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zagorec Krapina VS Vrbovec
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagorec Krapina

(Home)
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
26 Aug
Granicar Kotoriba
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
14 Aug
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
31 Jul
Segesta
4 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
27 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 2
HNK Gorica
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Vrbovec

(Away)
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
26 Aug
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Daruvar
28 May
Kurilovec
3 : 1
Vrbovec
21 May
Vrbovec
1 : 1
Gaj Mace
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)