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Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
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AI Match Summary

Zagorets in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zagorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Zagorets
15%
Draws
28%
Levski Karlovo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zagorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Levski Karlovo have won more games recently than Zagorets.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Zagorets taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 20%
Levski Karlovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagorets Levski Karlovo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo
2:0
Apr 29, 2026 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Zagorets
5:2
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Zagorets
0:0
Aug 3, 2024 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagorets 85 / 100
Levski Karlovo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagorets Levski Karlovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagorets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levski Karlovo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Zagorets found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Levski Karlovo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zagorets VS Levski Karlovo
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagorets

(Home)
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3
Botev II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Zagorets
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
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Levski Karlovo

(Away)
26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2
Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2
Rozova Dolina
12 Sept
OFC Haskovo
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
05 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 5
Yambol 1915
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
3 Maritsa Milevo 8 6 0 2 17:9 18
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Sozopol 8 4 1 3 17:13 13
7 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
8 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
9 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
10 Rozova Dolina 8 2 5 1 11:10 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 8 2 0 6 7:19 6
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
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