Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zagorets vs Lok. Plovdiv II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zagorets host Lok. Plovdiv II in the Third League - South-East. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Lok. Plovdiv II have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Zagorets have conceded 2.29 and scored 1.32. Past meetings favor Zagorets slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.75, favoring Zagorets. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Zagorets
15%
Draws
85%
Lok. Plovdiv II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lok. Plovdiv II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lok. Plovdiv II haven't matched Zagorets's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Zagorets's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zagorets have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 12%
Lok. Plovdiv II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagorets Lok. Plovdiv II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 5
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.32 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.29 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Zagorets
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Lok. Plovdiv II
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Zagorets
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Lok. Plovdiv II
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Zagorets
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagorets 40 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagorets Lok. Plovdiv II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Plovdiv II has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Lok. Plovdiv II registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Zagorets's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Zagorets VS Lok. Plovdiv II
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagorets

(Home)
17 Oct
Krumovgrad
2 : 1
Zagorets
10 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4
Maritsa Milevo
04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4
Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3
Botev II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Zagorets
Page 1 of 6

Lok. Plovdiv II

(Away)
17 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv II
1 : 2
Sozopol
11 Oct
Gigant Saedinenie
3 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv II
27 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 5
Maritsa Milevo
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
5 : 3
Lok. Plovdiv II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 10 10 0 0 30:9 30
2 Maritsa Milevo 11 9 0 2 27:12 27
3 Spartak Plovdiv 9 8 0 1 22:10 24
4 OFC Haskovo 10 6 3 1 19:9 21
5 Yambol 1915 10 5 2 3 28:14 17
6 Sozopol 11 5 1 5 22:20 16
7 Gigant Saedinenie 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
8 Neftochimic Burgas 9 5 1 3 18:13 16
9 Rodopa Smolyan 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
10 Rozova Dolina 11 2 7 2 15:16 13
11 Dimitrovgrad 11 3 2 6 17:19 11
12 Botev II 10 2 5 3 14:16 11
13 Zagorets 10 3 1 6 11:21 10
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 10 2 1 7 11:26 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 10 2 1 7 10:25 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 10 1 3 6 18:30 6
17 Levski Karlovo 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 10 1 2 7 8:17 5
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)