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Zagorets vs Lyubimets 2007

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2016/2017
Zagorets Logo

Zagorets

2 - 0
FT
Lyubimets 2007 Logo

Lyubimets 2007

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zagorets in this Third League - South-East 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zagorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Zagorets
15%
Draws
12%
Lyubimets 2007
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zagorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Zagorets have won more games recently than Lyubimets 2007.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Zagorets taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 15%
Lyubimets 2007 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagorets Lyubimets 2007
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.81 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.58 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2017 Third League - South-East
Lyubimets 2007 vs Zagorets
0:7
Nov 19, 2016 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Lyubimets 2007
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagorets 84 / 100
Lyubimets 2007 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagorets Lyubimets 2007

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagorets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lyubimets 2007's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Zagorets scored in 77% of their last 43 games.

Difficult form: Lyubimets 2007 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zagorets VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagorets

(Home)
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3
Botev II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Zagorets
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
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Lyubimets 2007

(Away)
27 May
Dimitrovgrad
3 : 0
Lyubimets 2007
20 May
Lyubimets 2007
0 : 7
Zagorets
13 May
Vereya 2
4 : 0
Lyubimets 2007
10 May
Lyubimets 2007
0 : 0
Borislav Parvomay
06 May
Maritsa Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lyubimets 2007
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorets 34 26 6 2 77:13 84
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 26 0 8 95:25 78
3 Karnobat 34 23 4 7 79:35 73
4 Rozova Dolina 34 20 4 10 69:38 64
5 Atletik Kuklen 34 15 8 11 58:44 53
6 Borislav Parvomay 34 14 8 12 60:48 50
7 Evrokolezh 34 14 4 16 64:65 46
8 Uragan Boyadzhik 34 13 6 15 55:66 45
9 Asenovets 34 13 5 16 50:56 44
10 Dimitrovgrad 34 12 7 15 35:39 43
11 Vereya 2 34 12 5 17 66:76 41
12 Svilengrad 1921 34 11 8 15 41:52 41
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 12 5 17 51:71 41
14 Rakovski 2011 34 11 7 16 52:81 40
15 Radnevo 34 11 6 17 39:58 39
16 Arda 34 11 6 17 49:69 39
17 Lyubimets 2007 34 9 6 19 38:79 33
18 Elhovo 34 4 3 27 27:90 15
Promotion - Vtora liga 2017/2018 (Main)