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Zagorets vs Rilski Sportist Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Bulgarian Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Zagorets at 1.46 goals for, 2.14 against; Rilski Sportist at 1.14 for, 0.79 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.56, favoring Rilski Sportist. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Zagorets
15%
Draws
57%
Rilski Sportist
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rilski Sportist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Zagorets haven't matched Rilski Sportist's recent run of results.
  • Rilski Sportist are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Rilski Sportist arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 15%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagorets Rilski Sportist
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.46 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.14 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagorets 10 / 100
Rilski Sportist 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagorets Rilski Sportist

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rilski Sportist Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zagorets's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Rilski Sportist let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Zagorets stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Rilski Sportist registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zagorets VS Rilski Sportist
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagorets

(Home)
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3
Botev II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Zagorets
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
Page 1 of 6

Rilski Sportist

(Away)
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1
Rilski Sportist
02 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1
Svoge
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik -
Etar -
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia -
Gorna -
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Botev Ihtiman -
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad -
Fratria -
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
Svoge -
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar -
Vihren -
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski -
Akademik Svishtov -
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte -
Yantra Gabrovo -
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets -
Rilski Sportist -
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik -
Beroe -
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen -
Chernomorets 1919 -
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad -
Spartak Pleven -
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan -
Marek -
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan -
Nesebar -
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Yambol 1915 -
Hebar -
Belasitsa Petrich -
Dobrudzha -
Bdin Vidin -
Montana -
1/16-finals
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
TBD -
Arda -
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
TBD -
Ludogorets -
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
TBD -
Cherno More -
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -