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Zagorets vs Yambol 1915 Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Zagorets and Yambol 1915 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Zagorets
15%
Draws
57%
Yambol 1915
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yambol 1915

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yambol 1915 come out ahead of Zagorets on wins alone.
  • Model gives Yambol 1915 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%
Yambol 1915 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagorets Yambol 1915
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.44 2.3
Goals Conceded 2.15 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Yambol 1915
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 Third League - South-East
Yambol 1915 vs Zagorets
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 Third League - South-East
Yambol 1915 vs Zagorets
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Yambol 1915
1:3
Feb 17, 2024 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Yambol 1915
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagorets 10 / 100
Yambol 1915 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagorets Yambol 1915

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yambol 1915 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zagorets scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Yambol 1915's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Zagorets went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zagorets VS Yambol 1915
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagorets

(Home)
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3
Botev II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Zagorets
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
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Yambol 1915

(Away)
26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
19 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
0 : 7
Yambol 1915
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 5
Yambol 1915
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 36 29 4 3 116:22 91
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 36 23 6 7 90:40 75
3 Neftochimic Burgas 36 19 9 8 53:39 66
4 Yambol 1915 36 20 6 10 72:41 66
5 Levski Karlovo 36 20 5 11 64:53 65
6 Maritsa Milevo 36 17 9 10 64:32 60
7 Spartak Plovdiv 36 15 9 12 64:58 54
8 Sozopol 36 16 6 14 50:38 54
9 OFC Haskovo 36 15 7 14 52:48 52
10 Zagorets 36 13 10 13 52:60 49
11 Rozova Dolina 36 14 6 16 45:52 48
12 Gigant Saedinenie 36 14 5 17 56:59 47
13 Rodopa Smolyan 36 14 4 18 51:70 46
14 Atletik Kuklen 36 13 3 20 43:78 42
15 Sekirovo Rakovski 36 9 8 19 30:53 35
16 Dimitrovgrad 36 10 5 21 42:82 35
17 Lok. Plovdiv II 36 9 6 21 44:53 33
18 Rakovski 2011 36 8 3 25 46:94 27
19 Asenovets 36 6 5 25 30:92 23
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