Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zakho vs Al Mosul

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Temirov S.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Attwan A.
Assist: Karim S.
50' Event
Alsanati A.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Zakho and Al Mosul finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zakho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Zakho
30%
Draws
12%
Al Mosul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zakho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Zakho carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Zakho a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Zakho Clean Sheet 15%
Al Mosul Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zakho Al Mosul
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 13
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Mosul
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Zakho
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Mosul
1:0
Apr 4, 2011 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Mosul
1:1
Dec 19, 2010 Stars League
Al Mosul vs Zakho
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zakho Compare

Top Goalscorer Attwan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Al Mosul Compare

Top Goalscorer Alsanati A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zakho 41 / 100
Al Mosul 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zakho Al Mosul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zakho found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Mosul has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Zakho went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zakho VS Al Mosul
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zakho

(Home)
19 Sept
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
Page 1 of 6

Al Mosul

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Mosul
0 : 1
Al Naft
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0
Al Mosul
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
30 Aug
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Mosul
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)