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Zakho vs Al Talaba

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Matheus Lucas
73' Event
Suhail A.
79' Event
Saad A.

AI Match Summary

Al Talaba in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Talaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Zakho
35%
Draws
35%
Al Talaba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Talaba average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Zakho's 1.16.
  • Win probability leans Zakho's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Zakho Clean Sheet 68%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zakho Al Talaba
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.16 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Talaba
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Talaba
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Zakho
1:0
Feb 19, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Talaba
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Zakho
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zakho Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Lucas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Talaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Suhail A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zakho 51 / 100
Al Talaba 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zakho Al Talaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zakho scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Talaba conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Zakho has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Zakho VS Al Talaba
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zakho

(Home)
19 Sept
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
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Al Talaba

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)