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Zakho vs Erbil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zakho host Erbil in the Stars League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Zakho have averaged 1 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Erbil's 1.72 scored and 0.69 conceded. Head-to-head, Zakho have won 3 to Erbil's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 28, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 1.44, favoring Erbil. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Zakho
35%
Draws
40%
Erbil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Erbil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Erbil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Erbil taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Zakho Clean Sheet 16%
Erbil Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zakho Erbil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 18
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 1 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Erbil
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Stars League
Erbil vs Zakho
0:1
Feb 14, 2025 Stars League
Erbil vs Zakho
0:0
Nov 7, 2024 Stars League
Zakho vs Erbil
3:1
May 22, 2024 Stars League
Zakho vs Erbil
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zakho 28 / 100
Erbil 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zakho Erbil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erbil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zakho scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Zakho has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Erbil let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zakho VS Erbil
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zakho

(Home)
09 Oct
Zakho
0 : 1
Newroz
19 Sept
Al Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

Erbil

(Away)
08 Oct
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Erbil
18 Sept
Karbala
0 : 3
Erbil
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2
Al Karma
08 Sept
Erbil
2 : 0
Diyala
04 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Erbil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 9 7 2 0 17:7 23
2 Newroz 9 5 3 1 14:4 18
3 Al Zawraa 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
4 Erbil 9 5 3 1 13:4 18
5 Al Naft 9 5 3 1 11:5 18
6 Al Shorta 9 4 4 1 9:4 16
7 Duhok 9 2 6 1 14:11 12
8 Al Minaa 9 3 3 3 10:10 12
9 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 9 2 5 2 14:12 11
10 Al Golan 9 2 5 2 8:9 11
11 Diyala 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
12 Zakho 9 2 3 4 7:12 9
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 9 1 5 3 4:7 8
14 Al Kahraba 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
15 Al Talaba 9 1 5 3 9:14 8
16 Naft Missan 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
17 Al Mosul 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
18 Al Karkh 9 2 1 6 12:17 7
19 Al Gharraf 9 1 3 5 4:12 6
20 Karbala 9 1 3 5 6:15 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)