Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Ouro-Agoro I.
31'
31'
Al Gahwashi N.
71'
71'
Al Alousi Y.
AI Match Summary
Zakho in this Stars League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zakho.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zakho
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Zakho have won more games recently than Naft Al-Basra.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Zakho have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Zakho Clean Sheet 68%
Naft Al-Basra Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zakho | Naft Al-Basra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Naft Al-Basra
2:1
Jan 20, 2025 Stars League
Naft Al-Basra vs Zakho
2:3
May 4, 2024 Stars League
Zakho vs Naft Al-Basra
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Stars League
Naft Al-Basra vs Zakho
0:2
Jul 21, 2023 Stars League
Zakho vs Naft Al-Basra
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zakho Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Gahwashi N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Al Alousi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Naft Al-Basra Compare
Top Goalscorer Ouro-Agoro I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zakho 42 / 100
Naft Al-Basra 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zakho Naft Al-Basra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zakho found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Naft Al-Basra conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Zakho has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Zakho VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Zakho
(Home) 05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0 Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0 Zakho
25 Aug
Zakho
2 : 2 Diyala
20 Aug
Al Minaa
2 : 1 Zakho
15 Aug
Zakho
1 : 0 Ghaz Al Shamal
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05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0 Al Talaba
25 Aug
Zakho
2 : 2 Diyala
15 Aug
Zakho
1 : 0 Ghaz Al Shamal
28 May
Zakho
1 : 2 Erbil
16 May
Zakho
1 : 1 Al Najaf
Page 1 of 4
Naft Al-Basra
(Away) 14 Jul
Baghdad
1 : 0 Naft Al-Basra
04 Jul
Naft Al-Basra
4 : 3 Erbil
27 Jun
Diyala
2 : 2 Naft Al-Basra
20 Jun
Naft Al-Basra
1 : 3 Al Shorta
14 Jun
Zakho
2 : 1 Naft Al-Basra
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Baghdad
1 : 0 Naft Al-Basra
27 Jun
Diyala
2 : 2 Naft Al-Basra
14 Jun
Zakho
2 : 1 Naft Al-Basra
18 May
Newroz
1 : 1 Naft Al-Basra
07 May
Al-Hudod
0 : 3 Naft Al-Basra
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Shorta | 38 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 75:23 | 87 |
| 2 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 56:28 | 77 |
| 3 | Zakho | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 57:25 | 71 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 40:27 | 63 |
| 5 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 51:43 | 60 |
| 6 | Al Naft | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 32:27 | 59 |
| 7 | Duhok | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 47:41 | 57 |
| 8 | Al-Karma | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 43:35 | 56 |
| 9 | Newroz | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 46:41 | 53 |
| 10 | Al-Qassim | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 43:43 | 52 |
| 11 | Naft Missan | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 42:46 | 51 |
| 12 | Erbil | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 49:61 | 50 |
| 13 | Al Kahraba | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 39:41 | 49 |
| 14 | Al Najaf | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 37:36 | 46 |
| 15 | Al Karkh | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 40:49 | 46 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 39:44 | 43 |
| 17 | Diyala | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 31:50 | 41 |
| 18 | Naft Al-Basra | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 32:57 | 33 |
| 19 | Al-Hudod | 38 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 37:79 | 26 |
| 20 | Karbala | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 26:66 | 22 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
