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Zalaegerszegi vs Mura

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Club Friendly 2025 ZTE Aréna
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zalaegerszegi play Mura in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zalaegerszegi averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Mura averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. In past meetings, Zalaegerszegi won 1, Mura won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 12, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Zalaegerszegi and 1.44 for Mura. This points to a Zalaegerszegi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Zalaegerszegi
27%
Draws
25%
Mura
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Zalaegerszegi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Zalaegerszegi picked up more points recently compared to Mura.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Zalaegerszegi Clean Sheet 16%
Mura Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalaegerszegi Mura
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Zalaegerszegi vs Mura
3:1
Jan 15, 2022 Club Friendly
Zalaegerszegi vs Mura
0:0
Aug 5, 2020 Club Friendly
Mura vs Zalaegerszegi
1:0
Jan 15, 2020 Club Friendly
Zalaegerszegi vs Mura
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalaegerszegi 46 / 100
Mura 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalaegerszegi Mura

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zalaegerszegi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zalaegerszegi attacking → ← attacking Mura

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zalaegerszegi scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Mura let in goals in 80% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Zalaegerszegi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Mura lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 23
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38