Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Berenta V.
(Penalty)
30'
30'
Misiunas D.
(Penalty)
41'
41'
Berenta V.
AI Match Summary
BFA Vilnius in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored BFA Vilnius.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zalgiris 2
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to BFA Vilnius lately — more wins on the board than Zalgiris 2.
- Zalgiris 2 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 16%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zalgiris 2 | BFA Vilnius |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 22, 2026 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs BFA Vilnius
3:4
Sep 12, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Zalgiris 2
1:0
May 11, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs BFA Vilnius
4:1
Aug 7, 2023 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs BFA Vilnius
1:6
Mar 18, 2023 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Zalgiris 2
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zalgiris 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Berenta V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baksys T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
BFA Vilnius Compare
Top Goalscorer Misiunas D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jurevicius Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zalgiris 2 48 / 100
BFA Vilnius 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zalgiris 2 BFA Vilnius
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Zalgiris 2 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Zalgiris 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
BFA Vilnius let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Zalgiris 2 VS BFA Vilnius
2 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Zalgiris 2
(Home) 12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1 Zalgiris 2
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0 Neptunas
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1 Zalgiris 2
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3 Transinvest 2
14 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 4 Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0 Neptunas
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3 Transinvest 2
10 Aug
Zalgiris 2
2 : 1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
28 Jul
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0 FK Minija
02 Jul
Zalgiris 2
3 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
Page 1 of 3
BFA Vilnius
(Away) 12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3 BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2 BFA Vilnius
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0 Neptunas
15 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 0 BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3 BFA Vilnius
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2 BFA Vilnius
15 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 0 BFA Vilnius
02 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 0 BFA Vilnius
19 Jul
Ekranas
1 : 4 BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 23 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 61:12 | 61 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 42:11 | 58 |
| 3 | Neptunas | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 32:28 | 44 |
| 4 | BE1 NFA | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 39:24 | 44 |
| 5 | Zalgiris 2 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 38:31 | 43 |
| 6 | BFA Vilnius | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38:34 | 42 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40:29 | 40 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 33:23 | 37 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 36:32 | 29 |
| 10 | Jonava | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 26:30 | 27 |
| 11 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 30:55 | 22 |
| 12 | Garliava | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 25:27 | 22 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 28:56 | 21 |
| 14 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 20:36 | 19 |
| 15 | Ekranas | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 23:52 | 14 |
| 16 | Siauliai 2 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 21:52 | 14 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
