Sport Picks

Lithuania

I Lyga

Zalgiris 2

3 - 4

BFA Vilnius

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Berenta V.

(Penalty)

30'

Misiunas D.

(Penalty)

41'

Berenta V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

BFA Vilnius in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored BFA Vilnius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Zalgiris 2

39%

Draws

30%

BFA Vilnius

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to BFA Vilnius lately — more wins on the board than Zalgiris 2.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 15%

BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zalgiris 2	BFA Vilnius
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	7	14
Draws	8	4
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	1.5	1
Goals Conceded	2.13	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 I Lyga

Zalgiris 2 vs BFA Vilnius

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

3:4

Sep 12, 2025 I Lyga

BFA Vilnius vs Zalgiris 2

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

May 11, 2025 I Lyga

Zalgiris 2 vs BFA Vilnius

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

4:1

Aug 7, 2023 I Lyga

Zalgiris 2 vs BFA Vilnius

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

1:6

Mar 18, 2023 I Lyga

BFA Vilnius vs Zalgiris 2

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Berenta V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Baksys T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

BFA Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Misiunas D.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Jurevicius Z.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 2 31 / 100

BFA Vilnius 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zalgiris 2 BFA Vilnius

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Zalgiris 2 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

BFA Vilnius let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Zalgiris 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris 2 VS BFA Vilnius

1.5 Goals Scored 1

2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25

100% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Minija	16	14	1	1	41:10	43
2	FK Babrungas	16	13	3	0	28:4	42
3	BE1 NFA	15	10	2	3	28:15	32
4	Tauras Taurage	16	10	1	5	30:17	31
5	Neptunas	15	9	1	5	20:17	28
6	Dainava Alytus	15	8	3	4	26:15	27
7	BFA Vilnius	16	8	1	7	22:25	25
8	Garliava	15	6	4	5	22:14	22
9	FK Atmosfera	15	6	3	6	23:17	21
10	Zalgiris 2	15	5	3	7	21:25	18
11	Jonava	16	4	5	7	19:22	17
12	Transinvest 2	15	4	2	9	13:36	14
13	Hegelmann Litauen 2	15	4	1	10	16:32	13
14	Ekranas	16	2	1	13	16:33	7
15	FK Kauno Zalgiris 2	16	2	1	13	7:26	7
16	Siauliai 2	16	1	4	11	14:38	7