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Zalgiris 2 vs FK Atmosfera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris 2 host FK Atmosfera in the I Lyga. This one's hard to separate. FK Atmosfera have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Zalgiris 2 have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.41. Head-to-head, Zalgiris 2 have won 1 to FK Atmosfera's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.00) point toward Zalgiris 2. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Zalgiris 2
20%
Draws
24%
FK Atmosfera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zalgiris 2 lately — more wins on the board than FK Atmosfera.
  • Zalgiris 2 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 20%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris 2 FK Atmosfera
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Zalgiris 2
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Zalgiris 2
5:0
Apr 26, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs FK Atmosfera
2:1
Aug 27, 2022 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs FK Atmosfera
4:4
Apr 15, 2022 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Zalgiris 2
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 2 58 / 100
FK Atmosfera 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris 2 FK Atmosfera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Atmosfera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Zalgiris 2 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Zalgiris 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris 2 VS FK Atmosfera
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris 2

(Home)
09 Oct
BFA Vilnius
1 : 2
Zalgiris 2
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
Neptunas
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 6

FK Atmosfera

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1
Tauras Taurage
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
22 Aug
Dainava Alytus
1 : 1
FK Atmosfera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)