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Zalgiris 2 vs FK Babrungas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Baguzas E.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between Zalgiris 2 and FK Babrungas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Babrungas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Zalgiris 2
15%
Draws
39%
FK Babrungas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Babrungas come out ahead of Zalgiris 2 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 19%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris 2 FK Babrungas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 22
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.48 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs FK Babrungas
0:1
May 15, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Zalgiris 2
3:0
Jul 25, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs Zalgiris 2
2:1
Mar 16, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs FK Babrungas
2:2
Aug 12, 2023 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs FK Babrungas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

FK Babrungas Compare

Top Goalscorer Baguzas E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 2 31 / 100
FK Babrungas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris 2 FK Babrungas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zalgiris 2 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Zalgiris 2 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

FK Babrungas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris 2 VS FK Babrungas
2 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
Neptunas
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3
Transinvest 2
Page 1 of 6

FK Babrungas

(Away)
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1
Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)