Sport Picks

Lithuania

I Lyga 2025 Žalgirio stadionas

Zalgiris 2

0 - 1

FK Minija

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Diawara B.

30'

Valukonis M.

38'

Sidibe M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FK Minija in this I Lyga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Minija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Zalgiris 2

22%

Draws

60%

FK Minija

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to FK Minija lately — more wins on the board than Zalgiris 2.
Win probability leans FK Minija's way, sitting at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
FK Minija have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 10%

FK Minija Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zalgiris 2	FK Minija
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	7	20
Draws	8	3
Losses	14	8
Goals Scored	1.5	2
Goals Conceded	2.13	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 I Lyga

FK Minija vs Zalgiris 2

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

4:0

Oct 24, 2025 I Lyga

Zalgiris 2 vs FK Minija

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Jun 17, 2025 I Lyga

FK Minija vs Zalgiris 2

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

1:4

Oct 15, 2023 I Lyga

Zalgiris 2 vs FK Minija

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 0 - 1

2:3

May 27, 2023 I Lyga

FK Minija vs Zalgiris 2

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Minija Compare

Top Goalscorer Pipiras D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 2 18 / 100

FK Minija 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zalgiris 2 FK Minija

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FKM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Zalgiris 2's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

FK Minija's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Zalgiris 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris 2 VS FK Minija

1.5 Goals Scored 2

2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63

100% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Transinvest	30	26	1	3	87:22	79
2	Neptunas	30	21	4	5	68:27	67
3	Tauras Taurage	30	18	8	4	56:22	62
4	FK Babrungas	30	17	7	6	64:43	58
5	BFA Vilnius	30	16	7	7	47:36	55
6	FK Atmosfera	30	14	6	10	52:34	48
7	Zalgiris 2	30	11	9	10	50:48	42
8	Jonava	30	11	9	10	26:25	42
9	FK Minija	30	11	3	16	27:46	36
10	Hegelmann Litauen 2	30	8	7	15	35:51	31
11	BE1 NFA	30	8	6	16	35:51	30
12	Ekranas	30	9	2	19	37:58	29
13	FK Kauno Zalgiris 2	30	8	3	19	43:57	27
14	Siauliai 2	30	8	2	20	41:71	26
15	Nevezis Kedainiai	30	7	5	18	32:58	26
16	FK Panevezys 2	30	6	3	21	30:81	21