Sport Picks
Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2 Prediction & H2H Stats
Lithuania
I Lyga 
Match Events
27'
27'
Bicka K.
44'
44'
Stelmokas N.
60'
60'
Bicka K.
AI Match Summary
The I Lyga game between Zalgiris 2 and Hegelmann Litauen 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zalgiris 2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris 2
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Zalgiris 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Zalgiris 2 a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Zalgiris 2 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zalgiris 2 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 2.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2026 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Zalgiris 2
0:2
Jul 2, 2026 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
3:1
Sep 26, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Zalgiris 2
1:1
May 26, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zalgiris 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Bicka K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Simonavicius U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Stelmokas N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zalgiris 2 67 / 100
Hegelmann Litauen 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zalgiris 2 Hegelmann Litauen 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hegelmann Litauen 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.
Zalgiris 2 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Zalgiris 2 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Zalgiris 2 VS Hegelmann Litauen 2
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Zalgiris 2
(Home) 20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1 Zalgiris 2
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0 Neptunas
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1 Zalgiris 2
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3 Transinvest 2
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0 Neptunas
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3 Transinvest 2
10 Aug
Zalgiris 2
2 : 1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
28 Jul
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0 FK Minija
Page 1 of 3
Hegelmann Litauen 2
(Away) 18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1 Dainava Alytus
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1 Siauliai 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0 Hegelmann Litauen 2
21 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 2 Ekranas
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0 Hegelmann Litauen 2
14 Aug
BE1 NFA
3 : 0 Hegelmann Litauen 2
25 Jul
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
02 Jul
Zalgiris 2
3 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68:13 | 67 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 43:11 | 61 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 44:24 | 50 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33:30 | 44 |
| 5 | BFA Vilnius | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 39:35 | 43 |
| 6 | Zalgiris 2 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 38:32 | 43 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35:25 | 40 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Garliava | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:28 | 28 |
| 11 | Jonava | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 28:33 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 23:43 | 22 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 29:58 | 21 |
| 14 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 26:59 | 19 |
| 15 | Siauliai 2 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27:56 | 17 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 25:58 | 14 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
