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Stadium Background

Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Bicka K.
44' Event
Stelmokas N.
60' Event
Bicka K.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between Zalgiris 2 and Hegelmann Litauen 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zalgiris 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Zalgiris 2
17%
Draws
13%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Zalgiris 2 and Hegelmann Litauen 2 close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Model gives Zalgiris 2 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zalgiris 2 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris 2 Hegelmann Litauen 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
3:1
Sep 26, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Zalgiris 2
1:1
May 26, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bicka K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Simonavicius U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stelmokas N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 2 66 / 100
Hegelmann Litauen 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris 2 Hegelmann Litauen 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hegelmann Litauen 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Zalgiris 2 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Hegelmann Litauen 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris 2 VS Hegelmann Litauen 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Minija15131139:940
2FK Babrungas15123026:439
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Neptunas1591520:1728
5Tauras Taurage1591527:1628
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7Garliava1564522:1422
8BFA Vilnius1571718:2422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1545618:2017
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas15211215:297
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21521127:247
16Siauliai 215141013:357