Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zalgiris 2 vs Neptunas

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Mon, Sep 7, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris 2 host Neptunas in the I Lyga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Zalgiris 2 have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Neptunas's 1.45 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Neptunas slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.06) point toward Neptunas. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Zalgiris 2
15%
Draws
35%
Neptunas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Zalgiris 2 haven't matched Neptunas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Zalgiris 2 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Neptunas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Neptunas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris 2 Neptunas
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 18
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 I Lyga
Neptunas vs Zalgiris 2
2:1
Aug 3, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Neptunas
3:3
Mar 29, 2025 I Lyga
Neptunas vs Zalgiris 2
2:0
Sep 16, 2023 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Neptunas
1:4
Apr 21, 2023 I Lyga
Neptunas vs Zalgiris 2
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 2 85 / 100
Neptunas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris 2 Neptunas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Zalgiris 2 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Zalgiris 2 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Neptunas let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris 2 VS Neptunas
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris 2

(Home)
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3
Transinvest 2
14 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 4
Zalgiris 2
10 Aug
Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
01 Aug
Ekranas
1 : 1
Zalgiris 2
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Neptunas

(Away)
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0
Neptunas
15 Aug
Neptunas
0 : 4
FK Babrungas
08 Aug
Tauras Taurage
0 : 2
Neptunas
01 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
Neptunas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 22 17 4 1 38:7 55
2 FK Minija 21 18 1 2 55:12 55
3 Neptunas 22 13 2 7 30:27 41
4 BE1 NFA 21 13 2 6 38:24 41
5 Tauras Taurage 22 12 4 6 39:25 40
6 Zalgiris 2 22 11 4 7 36:31 37
7 Dainava Alytus 21 10 6 5 33:20 36
8 BFA Vilnius 22 11 3 8 33:31 36
9 FK Atmosfera 21 7 5 9 31:28 26
10 Jonava 22 7 5 10 26:28 26
11 Garliava 21 6 4 11 23:23 22
12 Hegelmann Litauen 2 22 6 1 15 24:50 19
13 Transinvest 2 22 5 3 14 24:52 18
14 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 21 5 1 15 18:34 16
15 Siauliai 2 22 3 5 14 20:47 14
16 Ekranas 22 3 2 17 21:50 11
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)