Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zalgiris 2 vs Siauliai 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bradunas V.
38' Event
Jarusevicius G.
45' Event
Berenta V.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between Zalgiris 2 and Siauliai 2 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zalgiris 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Zalgiris 2
20%
Draws
19%
Siauliai 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Zalgiris 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Zalgiris 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zalgiris 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Siauliai 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris 2 Siauliai 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.37 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Zalgiris 2
1:4
Apr 3, 2026 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Siauliai 2
4:0
Oct 19, 2025 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Zalgiris 2
1:4
Jun 14, 2025 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs Siauliai 2
2:1
Oct 23, 2023 I Lyga
Siauliai 2 vs Zalgiris 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradunas V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarusevicius G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Siauliai 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 2 85 / 100
Siauliai 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris 2 Siauliai 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siauliai 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Zalgiris 2 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Zalgiris 2 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris 2 VS Siauliai 2
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris 2

(Home)
14 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 4
Zalgiris 2
10 Aug
Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
01 Aug
Ekranas
1 : 1
Zalgiris 2
28 Jul
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
FK Minija
21 Jul
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 2
Zalgiris 2
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Siauliai 2

(Away)
14 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 4
Zalgiris 2
08 Aug
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
Siauliai 2
02 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 0
BFA Vilnius
25 Jul
Neptunas
2 : 1
Siauliai 2
19 Jul
Tauras Taurage
3 : 1
Siauliai 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 20 17 1 2 53:11 52
2 FK Babrungas 20 16 3 1 36:6 51
3 Neptunas 20 12 2 6 27:24 38
4 Tauras Taurage 20 12 2 6 36:22 38
5 BE1 NFA 19 11 2 6 31:24 35
6 Dainava Alytus 19 10 5 4 32:18 35
7 BFA Vilnius 20 10 2 8 29:29 32
8 Zalgiris 2 20 9 4 7 31:28 31
9 FK Atmosfera 19 7 4 8 29:24 25
10 Jonava 20 6 5 9 24:26 23
11 Garliava 19 6 4 9 23:20 22
12 Transinvest 2 20 5 3 12 20:46 18
13 Hegelmann Litauen 2 20 5 1 14 21:45 16
14 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 20 4 1 15 15:34 13
15 Ekranas 20 3 2 15 19:42 11
16 Siauliai 2 20 2 5 13 18:45 11
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)