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Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA LFF stadionas, Vilnius
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Bosancic P.
41'
Baftalovskyi A.
45'
Gustas K.

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Zalgiris
15%
Draws
8%
FA Siauliai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zalgiris lately — more wins on the board than FA Siauliai.
  • Model gives Zalgiris a 77% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zalgiris have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 20%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris FA Siauliai
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.79 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
1:0
Jul 5, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris
0:3
May 6, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris
0:2
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Koy Lupano D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

FA Siauliai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 85 / 100
FA Siauliai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris FA Siauliai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Zalgiris found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

FA Siauliai let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Zalgiris has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris VS FA Siauliai
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris

(Home)
18 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 1
FC Hegelmann
10 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 0
Suduva
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
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FA Siauliai

(Away)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
03 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 29 15 9 5 57:20 54
2 Zalgiris 30 15 5 10 49:35 50
3 Suduva 30 13 11 6 39:30 50
4 Transinvest 29 13 7 9 46:38 46
5 Banga 29 11 8 10 33:30 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 29 10 9 10 39:43 39
7 FK Panevezys 29 10 5 14 31:44 35
8 FC Hegelmann 30 4 14 12 32:52 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)