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Zalgiris vs Suduva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA LFF stadionas, Vilnius
Zalgiris Logo

Zalgiris

4 - 0
FT
Suduva Logo

Suduva

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Vareika M.
Assist: Bilenkyi S.
14' Event
Zivanovic A.
Own Goal
45'
Sanokho S. M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Zalgiris
20%
Draws
15%
Suduva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zalgiris lately — more wins on the board than Suduva.
  • Model gives Zalgiris a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 16%
Suduva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris Suduva
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.77 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Suduva
4:0
Sep 13, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Zalgiris
0:0
May 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Zalgiris
1:1
Mar 10, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Suduva
1:0
Sep 29, 2025 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Zalgiris
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vareika M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Suduva Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 84 / 100
Suduva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris Suduva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zalgiris's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Suduva conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Zalgiris remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris VS Suduva
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris

(Home)
18 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 1
FC Hegelmann
10 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 0
Suduva
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
19 Sept
Transinvest
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
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Suduva

(Away)
19 Oct
Suduva
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
10 Oct
Zalgiris
4 : 0
Suduva
29 Sept
Jagiellonia
5 : 0
Suduva
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 29 15 9 5 57:20 54
2 Zalgiris 30 15 5 10 49:35 50
3 Suduva 30 13 11 6 39:30 50
4 Transinvest 29 13 7 9 46:38 46
5 Banga 29 11 8 10 33:30 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 29 10 9 10 39:43 39
7 FK Panevezys 29 10 5 14 31:44 35
8 FC Hegelmann 30 4 14 12 32:52 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)