Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zalgiris vs Transinvest

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA LFF stadionas, Vilnius
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bilenkyi S.
36'
Bilenkyi S.
41' Event
Petkovic N.
Assist: Franke D.

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between Zalgiris and Transinvest finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Zalgiris
15%
Draws
46%
Transinvest
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Transinvest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Transinvest come out ahead of Zalgiris on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 11%
Transinvest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalgiris Transinvest
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.68 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Transinvest
3:1
May 17, 2026 TOPLYGA
Transinvest vs Zalgiris
1:0
Mar 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Transinvest
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 TOPLYGA
Transinvest vs Zalgiris
0:1
Aug 14, 2024 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Transinvest
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Petkovic N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bilenkyi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Transinvest Compare

Top Goalscorer Milosevic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalgiris 29 / 100
Transinvest 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalgiris Transinvest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zalgiris scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Transinvest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Zalgiris stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zalgiris VS Transinvest
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalgiris

(Home)
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
16 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 3
Banga
13 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0
Zalgiris
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Transinvest

(Away)
06 Sept
Transinvest
1 : 2
Suduva
24 Aug
Transinvest
3 : 0
FA Siauliai
16 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris
1 : 1
Transinvest
10 Aug
Transinvest
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
02 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 2
Transinvest
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 26 13 9 4 38:24 48
2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 25 12 9 4 51:17 45
3 Zalgiris 25 12 4 9 38:29 40
4 Transinvest 26 11 6 9 37:34 39
5 Dziugas Telsiai 27 10 8 9 36:38 38
6 Banga 26 10 8 8 29:25 38
7 FK Panevezys 27 9 5 13 29:42 32
8 FC Hegelmann 27 4 12 11 30:47 24
9 FA Siauliai 27 3 7 17 24:56 16
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)