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Zalla UC vs Balmaseda Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zalla UC in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalla UC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Zalla UC
20%
Draws
52%
Balmaseda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Balmaseda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Balmaseda lately — more wins on the board than Zalla UC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Zalla UC Clean Sheet 18%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalla UC Balmaseda
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 14
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Zalla UC
3:3
Oct 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs Balmaseda
1:1
May 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs Balmaseda
3:1
Dec 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Zalla UC
3:0
Apr 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Zalla UC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalla UC 36 / 100
Balmaseda 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalla UC Balmaseda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balmaseda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Zalla UC's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Balmaseda has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.

Zalla UC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zalla UC VS Balmaseda
0 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalla UC

(Home)
04 Sept
Zalla UC
0 : 2
Barakaldo
13 May
Zalla UC
4 : 1
Pasaia
06 May
Portugalete
2 : 1
Zalla UC
29 Apr
Zalla UC
1 : 2
Beasain
22 Apr
Zalla UC
2 : 0
Bermeo
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Balmaseda

(Away)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamudio 38 22 8 8 65:40 74
2 Bermeo 38 19 10 9 57:35 67
3 Lagun Onak 38 17 15 6 39:26 66
4 Balmaseda 38 18 10 10 50:35 64
5 Beasain 38 17 12 9 54:36 63
6 CD Vitoria 38 17 10 11 47:32 61
7 Santutxu FC 38 14 11 13 39:33 53
8 Pasaia 38 15 8 15 36:48 53
9 Zalla UC 38 13 13 12 54:43 52
10 SCD Durango 38 11 17 10 29:34 50
11 Deportivo Getxo 38 12 12 14 43:38 48
12 Alaves B 38 13 9 16 54:52 48
13 Real Sociedad C 38 12 11 15 45:48 47
14 Basconia 38 13 8 17 53:62 47
15 Santurtzi 38 10 15 13 40:46 45
16 SD Deusto 38 10 15 13 38:46 45
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 11 8 19 50:76 41
18 Aurrera de Vitoria 38 8 14 16 33:50 38
19 CD Betono 38 7 11 20 36:56 32
20 UD Aretxabaleta 38 5 15 18 34:60 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)