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Zalla UC vs CD Vitoria

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016 game between Zalla UC and CD Vitoria finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Zalla UC
15%
Draws
53%
CD Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Vitoria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CD Vitoria are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Zalla UC Clean Sheet 10%
CD Vitoria Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalla UC CD Vitoria
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 8 24
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 2
Goals Scored 1.28 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.78 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Zalla UC
0:1
Sep 25, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs CD Vitoria
0:1
May 14, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Zalla UC
1:3
Jan 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs CD Vitoria
0:1
Mar 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Zalla UC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalla UC 26 / 100
CD Vitoria 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalla UC CD Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Vitoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zalla UC found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: CD Vitoria conceded in 38% of 34 recent games.

Zalla UC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zalla UC VS CD Vitoria
0 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalla UC

(Home)
04 Sept
Zalla UC
0 : 2
Barakaldo
13 May
Zalla UC
4 : 1
Pasaia
06 May
Portugalete
2 : 1
Zalla UC
29 Apr
Zalla UC
1 : 2
Beasain
22 Apr
Zalla UC
2 : 0
Bermeo
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CD Vitoria

(Away)
11 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 2
Pasaia
04 May
Padura
0 : 1
CD Vitoria
01 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Touring KE
27 Apr
San Ignacio
2 : 0
CD Vitoria
20 Apr
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Beasain
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamudio 38 22 8 8 65:40 74
2 Bermeo 38 19 10 9 57:35 67
3 Lagun Onak 38 17 15 6 39:26 66
4 Balmaseda 38 18 10 10 50:35 64
5 Beasain 38 17 12 9 54:36 63
6 CD Vitoria 38 17 10 11 47:32 61
7 Santutxu FC 38 14 11 13 39:33 53
8 Pasaia 38 15 8 15 36:48 53
9 Zalla UC 38 13 13 12 54:43 52
10 SCD Durango 38 11 17 10 29:34 50
11 Deportivo Getxo 38 12 12 14 43:38 48
12 Alaves B 38 13 9 16 54:52 48
13 Real Sociedad C 38 12 11 15 45:48 47
14 Basconia 38 13 8 17 53:62 47
15 Santurtzi 38 10 15 13 40:46 45
16 SD Deusto 38 10 15 13 38:46 45
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 11 8 19 50:76 41
18 Aurrera de Vitoria 38 8 14 16 33:50 38
19 CD Betono 38 7 11 20 36:56 32
20 UD Aretxabaleta 38 5 15 18 34:60 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)