Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zalla UC vs Elgoibar

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zalla UC in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalla UC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Zalla UC
20%
Draws
20%
Elgoibar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zalla UC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zalla UC lately — more wins on the board than Elgoibar.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Zalla UC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Zalla UC Clean Sheet 19%
Elgoibar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalla UC Elgoibar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.22 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs Elgoibar
1:0
Nov 23, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Zalla UC
3:2
Mar 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs Elgoibar
1:0
Oct 20, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Zalla UC
1:2
Jan 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Elgoibar vs Zalla UC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalla UC 76 / 100
Elgoibar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalla UC Elgoibar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalla UC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zalla UC's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Elgoibar has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Elgoibar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zalla UC VS Elgoibar
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Zalla UC

(Home)
04 Sept
Zalla UC
0 : 2
Barakaldo
13 May
Zalla UC
4 : 1
Pasaia
06 May
Portugalete
2 : 1
Zalla UC
29 Apr
Zalla UC
1 : 2
Beasain
22 Apr
Zalla UC
2 : 0
Bermeo
Page 1 of 7

Elgoibar

(Away)
15 Jul
Elgoibar
0 : 5
Real Sociedad
10 May
Zamudio
0 : 0
Elgoibar
03 May
Elgoibar
0 : 1
Bermeo
26 Apr
Beasain
2 : 1
Elgoibar
17 Apr
Elgoibar
0 : 0
Santutxu FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laudio 38 23 12 3 65:29 81
2 Arenas Getxo 38 23 9 6 54:24 78
3 Portugalete 38 21 10 7 75:38 73
4 Leioa 38 20 11 7 43:28 71
5 Gernika Club 38 19 12 7 58:31 69
6 Zalla UC 38 18 13 7 51:36 67
7 Bermeo 38 12 16 10 52:47 52
8 SCD Durango 38 11 15 12 39:44 48
9 Zamudio 38 11 14 13 41:52 47
10 Beasain 38 11 14 13 38:41 47
11 Lagun Onak 38 11 13 14 36:41 46
12 Basconia 38 13 6 19 49:59 45
13 Pasaia 38 10 13 15 43:64 43
14 Alaves B 38 11 10 17 40:48 43
15 Elgoibar 38 10 13 15 35:42 43
16 Santutxu FC 38 10 11 17 39:55 41
17 Balmaseda 38 11 7 20 49:57 40
18 Deportivo Getxo 38 9 12 17 34:49 39
19 Aurrera de Vitoria 38 7 8 23 27:57 29
20 Anaitasuna FT 38 6 7 25 35:61 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)