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Zalla UC vs UD Aretxabaleta

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016 game between Zalla UC and UD Aretxabaleta finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Zalla UC
28%
Draws
22%
UD Aretxabaleta
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Zalla UC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • UD Aretxabaleta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Zalla UC taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Zalla UC Clean Sheet 15%
UD Aretxabaleta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zalla UC UD Aretxabaleta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs UD Aretxabaleta
2:2
Sep 16, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
UD Aretxabaleta vs Zalla UC
2:2
Mar 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zalla UC vs UD Aretxabaleta
2:0
Oct 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
UD Aretxabaleta vs Zalla UC
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zalla UC 48 / 100
UD Aretxabaleta 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zalla UC UD Aretxabaleta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UD Aretxabaleta conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Zalla UC found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Away concern: UD Aretxabaleta has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS UD Aretxabaleta
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zamudio38228865:4074
2Bermeo381910957:3567
3Lagun Onak381715639:2666
4Balmaseda3818101050:3564
5Beasain381712954:3663
6CD Vitoria3817101147:3261
7Santutxu FC3814111339:3353
8Pasaia381581536:4853
9Zalla UC3813131254:4352
10SCD Durango3811171029:3450
11Deportivo Getxo3812121443:3848
12Alaves B381391654:5248
13Real Sociedad C3812111545:4847
14Basconia381381753:6247
15Santurtzi3810151340:4645
16SD Deusto3810151338:4645
17Aurrera Ondarroa381181950:7641
18Aurrera de Vitoria388141633:5038
19CD Betono387112036:5632
20UD Aretxabaleta385151834:6030