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Zamalek vs Al Ahly - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zamalek host Al Ahly in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Zamalek have averaged 1.36 scored and 0.7 conceded recently, against Al Ahly's 1.52 scored and 0.93 conceded. Head-to-head, Zamalek have won 1 to Al Ahly's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.00 - 1.19) back Zamalek to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Zamalek
15%
Draws
39%
Al Ahly
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zamalek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Zamalek have won more games recently than Al Ahly.
  • Model gives Zamalek a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Zamalek Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ahly Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamalek Al Ahly
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 21 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.36 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Premier League
Zamalek vs Al Ahly
0:3
Nov 9, 2025 Super Cup
Al Ahly vs Zamalek
2:0
Sep 29, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly vs Zamalek
2:1
Mar 11, 2025 Premier League
Zamalek vs Al Ahly
3:0
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly vs Zamalek
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamalek 49 / 100
Al Ahly 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamalek Al Ahly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamalek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Zamalek remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Zamalek found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Al Ahly let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zamalek VS Al Ahly
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamalek

(Home)
16 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 1
Zamalek
12 Sept
Zamalek
4 : 0
Port
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
04 Sept
Port
1 : 2
Zamalek
31 Aug
Zamalek
2 : 1
Petrojet
Page 1 of 7

Al Ahly

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Al Ahly
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
28 Aug
ZED FC
0 : 2
Al Ahly
23 Aug
Al Ahly
3 : 2
Enppi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Zamalek 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
3 Al Ahly 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
5 Modern Sport 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
9 El Gaish 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 ZED FC 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
11 Al Qanah 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Al Masry 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
13 National Bank Egypt 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
14 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Enppi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
16 Smouha 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
17 Abu Qir Semad 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
18 El Gouna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Asyut Petroleum 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)