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Stadium Background

Zamalek vs Al Ahly

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Cairo International Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Bencharki A.
Assist: Mohamed T.
20'
Fatouh A.
32' Event
El Shahat H.
Assist: Bencharki A.

AI Match Summary

Al Ahly in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahly.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Zamalek
17%
Draws
70%
Al Ahly
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Ahly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Al Ahly at 1.63 per game, Zamalek at 1.13.
  • Win probability leans Al Ahly's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Zamalek Clean Sheet 22%
Al Ahly Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamalek Al Ahly
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 17 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Premier League
Zamalek vs Al Ahly
0:3
Nov 9, 2025 Super Cup
Al Ahly vs Zamalek
2:0
Sep 29, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly vs Zamalek
2:1
Mar 11, 2025 Premier League
Zamalek vs Al Ahly
3:0
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly vs Zamalek
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamalek Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Ahly Compare

Top Goalscorer Bencharki A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader El Shahat H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamalek 16 / 100
Al Ahly 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamalek Al Ahly

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zamalek found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Al Ahly's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Zamalek stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zamalek VS Al Ahly
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zamalek64117:456
2Pyramids632110:654
3Al Ahly641111:553
4Ceramica Cleopatra61325:544
5Al Masry62226:940
6Enppi61327:936
7Smouha60062:1031