Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zamalek vs USM Alger

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
Sat, May 16, 2026
1 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Dabbagh O.
(Penalty)
30'
Sub
Soliman E. M. In: Awad M.
Out: Soliman E. M.
45'
Merili I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Zamalek
30%
Draws
26%
USM Alger
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zamalek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Zamalek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Zamalek taking it.
  • Zamalek have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Zamalek Clean Sheet 68%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamalek USM Alger
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 14
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Zamalek vs USM Alger
1:1
May 9, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
USM Alger vs Zamalek
1:0
Jun 21, 2017 CAF Champions League
USM Alger vs Zamalek
2:0
Jun 2, 2017 CAF Champions League
Zamalek vs USM Alger
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamalek 95 / 100
USM Alger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamalek USM Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamalek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Zamalek stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Zamalek's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: USM Alger conceded in 61% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Zamalek VS USM Alger
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamalek

(Home)
16 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 1
Zamalek
12 Sept
Zamalek
4 : 0
Port
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
04 Sept
Port
1 : 2
Zamalek
31 Aug
Zamalek
2 : 1
Petrojet
Page 1 of 6

USM Alger

(Away)
19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3
USM Alger
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0
JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0
USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
AS Maniema 2
USM Alger 2
Olympique de Safi 3
Wydad Athletic 3
Al Masry 1
CR Belouizdad 1
Otoho d'Oyo 2
Zamalek 3
Semi-finals
USM Alger 1
Olympique de Safi 1
CR Belouizdad 0
Zamalek 1
Final
USM Alger 2
Zamalek 1