Sport Picks
Zambia U17 vs Mali U17 Prediction & H2H Stats
World
World Cup U17 2025 Aspire Zone, Doha 
Match Events
20'
20'
Traore M.
22'
22'
Sibeene J.
46'
46'
Sub
Chitambala C. In: Simumba R.
Out: Chitambala C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Mali U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zambia U17
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mali U17 come out ahead of Zambia U17 on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Mali U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mali U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Zambia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zambia U17 | Mali U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 2.62 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 14, 2025 World Cup U17
Zambia U17 vs Mali U17
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zambia U17 Compare
Top Goalscorer Simute M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Mali U17 Compare
Top Goalscorer Bomba N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dembele S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.38
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zambia U17 30 / 100
Mali U17 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zambia U17 Mali U17
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Zambia U17 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Mali U17 has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Zambia U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Zambia U17 VS Mali U17
2.2 Goals Scored 2.63
2.6 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 75%
80% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Zambia U17
(Home) 14 Nov
Zambia U17
1 : 3 Mali U17
10 Nov
Zambia U17
1 : 1 Brazil U17
07 Nov
Zambia U17
5 : 2 Honduras U17
04 Nov
Indonesia U17
1 : 3 Zambia U17
10 Apr
Burkina Faso U17
6 : 1 Zambia U17
Page 1 of 6
14 Nov
Zambia U17
1 : 3 Mali U17
10 Nov
Zambia U17
1 : 1 Brazil U17
07 Nov
Zambia U17
5 : 2 Honduras U17
03 Apr
Zambia U17
0 : 0 Morocco U17
20 Feb
Zambia U17
0 : 1 Egypt U17
Page 1 of 3
Mali U17
(Away) 24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1 Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1 Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1 Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0 Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2 Mali U17
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1 Mali U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1 Mali U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2 Mali U17
14 Nov
Zambia U17
1 : 3 Mali U17
11 Nov
Saudi Arabia U17
0 : 2 Mali U17
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Argentina U17 2
Mexico U17 3
Portugal U17 2
Belgium U17 1
Switzerland U17 3
Egypt U17 1
Ireland U17 2
Canada U17 1
USA U17 1
Morocco U17 2
Zambia U17 1
Mali U17 3
Brazil U17 1
Paraguay U17 0
France U17 2
Colombia U17 0
Austria U17 2
Tunisia U17 0
South Korea U17 0
England U17 2
Venezuela U17 1
North Korea U17 2
Japan U17 3
South Africa U17 0
Italy U17 2
Czech Republic U17 0
Croatia U17 1
Uzbekistan U17 2
Senegal U17 0
Uganda U17 1
Germany U17 0
Burkina Faso U17 1
1/8-finals
Mexico U17 0
Portugal U17 5
Switzerland U17 3
Ireland U17 1
Morocco U17 3
Mali U17 2
Brazil U17 2
France U17 1
Austria U17 4
England U17 0
North Korea U17 1
Japan U17 2
Italy U17 3
Uzbekistan U17 2
Uganda U17 1
Burkina Faso U17 2
Quarter-finals
Portugal U17 2
Switzerland U17 0
Morocco U17 1
Brazil U17 2
Austria U17 1
Japan U17 0
Italy U17 1
Burkina Faso U17 0
Semi-finals
Portugal U17 1
Brazil U17 0
Austria U17 2
Italy U17 0
Final
Portugal U17 1
Austria U17 0
Brazil U17 0
Italy U17 1
