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Zambia U17 vs Morocco U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023
Zambia U17 Logo

Zambia U17

2 - 1
FT
Morocco U17 Logo

Morocco U17

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ouazane Z.
Assist: Radouane M.
46'
Sub
Kawangu M. In: Malaya S.
Out: Kawangu M.
46'
Sub
Kapowa L. In: Lweendo C.
Out: Kapowa L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zambia U17 in this Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Zambia U17
15%
Draws
48%
Morocco U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Morocco U17 have won more games recently than Zambia U17.
  • Win probability leans Zambia U17's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Morocco U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zambia U17, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Zambia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Morocco U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia U17 Morocco U17
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Zambia U17 vs Morocco U17
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Friendly International
Morocco U17 vs Zambia U17
2:1
Sep 5, 2024 Friendly International
Morocco U17 vs Zambia U17
1:2
May 6, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Zambia U17 vs Morocco U17
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zambia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Malaya S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Morocco U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouazane Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia U17 34 / 100
Morocco U17 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia U17 Morocco U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia U17's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Morocco U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Zambia U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zambia U17 VS Morocco U17
2.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia U17

(Home)
14 Nov
Zambia U17
1 : 3
Mali U17
10 Nov
Zambia U17
1 : 1
Brazil U17
07 Nov
Zambia U17
5 : 2
Honduras U17
04 Nov
Indonesia U17
1 : 3
Zambia U17
10 Apr
Burkina Faso U17
6 : 1
Zambia U17
Page 1 of 6

Morocco U17

(Away)
01 Jun
Morocco U17
0 : 2
Egypt U17
28 May
Morocco U17
1 : 2
Senegal U17
24 May
Morocco U17
1 : 0
Cameroon U17
19 May
Morocco U17
2 : 1
Egypt U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U17 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Algeria U17 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Congo U17 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Somalia U17 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Nigeria U17 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 South Africa U17 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Zambia U17 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali U17 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Burkina Faso U17 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Cameroon U17 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 South Sudan U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams