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Zambia U17 vs Uganda U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
60' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Zambia U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zambia U17
20%
Draws
40%
Uganda U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Zambia U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Zambia U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zambia U17, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zambia U17 Clean Sheet 15%
Uganda U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia U17 Uganda U17
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.42 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Uganda U17 vs Zambia U17
1:2
Sep 27, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Uganda U17 vs Zambia U17
1:2
Sep 12, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Zambia U17 vs Uganda U17
2:0
Apr 24, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Zambia U17 vs Uganda U17
1:1
Apr 9, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Uganda U17 vs Zambia U17
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia U17 31 / 100
Uganda U17 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia U17 Uganda U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia U17's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Uganda U17 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 25 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Zambia U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zambia U17 VS Uganda U17
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia U17

(Home)
14 Nov
Zambia U17
1 : 3
Mali U17
10 Nov
Zambia U17
1 : 1
Brazil U17
07 Nov
Zambia U17
5 : 2
Honduras U17
04 Nov
Indonesia U17
1 : 3
Zambia U17
10 Apr
Burkina Faso U17
6 : 1
Zambia U17
Page 1 of 7

Uganda U17

(Away)
23 May
Uganda U17
3 : 2
Ghana U17
19 May
Ivory Coast U17
2 : 2
Uganda U17
16 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
Uganda U17
13 May
Uganda U17
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
18 Nov
Uganda U17
1 : 2
Burkina Faso U17
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Zambia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Botswana U17 -
Rwanda U17 -
TBD -
Seychelles U17 1
Uganda U17 5
Gabon U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Burundi U17 -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Guinea U17 -
Gambia U17 -
TBD -
Morocco U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
Guinea-Bissau U17 -
Togo U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
Central Africa U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
South Sudan U17 -
Kenya U17 -
TBD -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Namibia U17 1
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 -
Mauritania U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania U17 -
Congo U17 -
TBD -
Sudan U17 3
Egypt U17 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Zambia U17 6
Botswana U17 0
Rwanda U17 2
Uganda U17 7
Gabon U17 3
Ethiopia U17 0
D.R. Congo U17 0
Nigeria U17 5
Guinea U17 3
Morocco U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Togo U17 1
Cameroon U17 2
Burkina Faso U17 0
South Sudan U17 -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 3
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 0
Ivory Coast U17 7
Benin U17 1
Mali U17 0
Sierra Leone U17 -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 4
Tanzania U17 0
Congo U17 1
Egypt U17 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Zambia U17 4
Uganda U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Nigeria U17 6
Guinea U17 4
Togo U17 0
Cameroon U17 4
Ghana U17 6
Angola U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 4
Mali U17 5
Tunisia U17 1
South Africa U17 4
Egypt U17 3
TBD -
TBD -