Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zambia U20 vs Rwanda U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Zambia U20
20%
Draws
24%
Rwanda U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zambia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Zambia U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Zambia U20 taking it.
  • Zambia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Zambia U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Rwanda U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia U20 Rwanda U20
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 18 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.61 0.84
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Zambia U20 vs Rwanda U20
1:1
May 12, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Rwanda U20 vs Zambia U20
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia U20 95 / 100
Rwanda U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia U20 Rwanda U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia U20 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Rwanda U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Zambia U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zambia U20 VS Rwanda U20
1.25 Goals Scored 0.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia U20

(Home)
21 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Comoros U20
18 Sept
Zambia U20
2 : 0
Malawi U20
12 Jul
Angola U20
1 : 2
Zambia U20
11 Jul
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Zambia U20
09 Jul
Zambia U20
1 : 0
Botswana U20
Page 1 of 7

Rwanda U20

(Away)
17 Sept
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Ethiopia U20
15 Sept
Tanzania U20
3 : 0
Rwanda U20
15 Oct
Rwanda U20
5 : 1
Djibouti U20
13 Oct
Tanzania U20
3 : 0
Rwanda U20
10 Oct
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Kenya U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mauritania U20 2
Morocco U20 1
TBD -
Guinea U20 -
Guinea-Bissau U20 1
Sierra Leone U20 0
TBD -
Nigeria U20 -
Ghana U20 -
TBD -
Tunisia U20 2
Algeria U20 5
Gambia U20 -
TBD -
Liberia U20 -
Benin U20 -
Burkina Faso U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Libya U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
TBD -
Togo U20 2
Gabon U20 5
Zambia U20 -
TBD -
Kenya U20 1
Rwanda U20 1
Sudan U20 -
TBD -
Ethiopia U20 0
Burundi U20 3
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
South Sudan U20 1
Uganda U20 8
Tanzania U20 1
D.R. Congo U20 0
TBD -
Mali U20 -
South Africa U20 -
TBD -
Seychelles U20 0
Mozambique U20 6
Angola U20 -
TBD -
Eswatini U20 1
Malawi U20 1
Congo U20 -
TBD -
Namibia U20 1
Botswana U20 1
Egypt U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Senegal U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Mauritania U20 3
Guinea U20 3
Guinea-Bissau U20 2
Nigeria U20 3
Ghana U20 2
Algeria U20 0
Gambia U20 2
Benin U20 3
Burkina Faso U20 6
Libya U20 4
Ivory Coast U20 2
Gabon U20 3
Zambia U20 3
Rwanda U20 1
Sudan U20 1
Burundi U20 3
Cameroon U20 2
Uganda U20 1
Tanzania U20 2
Mali U20 6
South Africa U20 4
Mozambique U20 1
Angola U20 3
Malawi U20 5
Congo U20 4
Botswana U20 1
Egypt U20 0
Senegal U20 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Mauritania U20 1
Nigeria U20 6
Ghana U20 4
Benin U20 2
Burkina Faso U20 4
Gabon U20 1
Zambia U20 1
Burundi U20 3
Cameroon U20 1
Mali U20 4
South Africa U20 2
Malawi U20 0
Congo U20 3
Senegal U20 6
TBD -
TBD -