Sport Picks

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Zambia U20 vs Zimbabwe U20

Africa Africa

COSAFA Championship U20 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Zimbabwe U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Zambia U20
15%
Draws
17%
Zimbabwe U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zambia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zambia U20 come out ahead of Zimbabwe U20 on wins alone.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Zambia U20 taking it.
  • Zambia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zimbabwe U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Zambia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Zimbabwe U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia U20 Zimbabwe U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2024 COSAFA Championship U20
Zimbabwe U20 vs Zambia U20
2:3
Mar 21, 2024 Friendly International
Zambia U20 vs Zimbabwe U20
0:0
Dec 11, 2018 COSAFA Championship U20
Zambia U20 vs Zimbabwe U20
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia U20 76 / 100
Zimbabwe U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia U20 Zimbabwe U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia U20 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Zimbabwe U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Zambia U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zambia U20 VS Zimbabwe U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia U20

(Home)
25 Sept
South Africa U20
4 : 2
Zambia U20
23 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 1
Botswana U20
21 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Comoros U20
18 Sept
Zambia U20
2 : 0
Malawi U20
12 Jul
Angola U20
1 : 2
Zambia U20
Page 1 of 6

Zimbabwe U20

(Away)
08 Jul
Angola U20
2 : 0
Zimbabwe U20
06 Jul
Namibia U20
3 : 2
Zimbabwe U20
04 Jul
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Zimbabwe U20
03 Oct
Zimbabwe U20
2 : 3
Zambia U20
30 Sept
Mozambique U20
0 : 1
Zimbabwe U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
South Africa U20 1
Angola U20 0
Zambia U20 1
Zimbabwe U20 2
Final
South Africa U20 2
Zimbabwe U20 1
Angola U20 2
Zambia U20 1