Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zambia U23 vs Congo U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zambia U23 in this Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Zambia U23
22%
Draws
18%
Congo U23
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Zambia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Congo U23 haven't matched Zambia U23's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Zambia U23 a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Zambia U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zambia U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Zambia U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Congo U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia U23 Congo U23
Matches Played 17 16
Wins 5 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Congo U23 vs Zambia U23
3:3
Sep 4, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Zambia U23 vs Congo U23
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia U23 68 / 100
Congo U23 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia U23 Congo U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Congo U23 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 16 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Zambia U23 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (17 games).

Zambia U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zambia U23 VS Congo U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia U23

(Home)
31 Mar
Zimbabwe
1 : 0
Zambia U23
28 Mar
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Malawi
26 Mar
Zambia U23
0 : 0
Egypt U23
22 Mar
Egypt U23
2 : 0
Zambia U23
29 Oct
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U23
Page 1 of 4

Congo U23

(Away)
30 Jun
Congo U23
0 : 1
Morocco U23
27 Jun
Congo U23
1 : 3
Guinea U23
25 Jun
Ghana U23
3 : 2
Congo U23
27 Mar
Congo U23
0 : 0
South Africa U23
23 Mar
South Africa U23
1 : 1
Congo U23
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola U231
South Africa U236
Mozambique U230
Zimbabwe U232
Malawi U230
Zambia U232
Burundi U231
Congo U232
Ghana U234
Gabon U230
Equatorial Guinea U231
Algeria U233
Cameroon U23-
Sierra Leone U23-
South Sudan U230
Tunisia U231
Niger U232
Ivory Coast U238
Guinea U232
Senegal U231
Sudan U232
Kenya U230
Libya U232
Nigeria U234
D.R. Congo U230
Morocco U236
Ethiopia U231
Mali U235
Final
South Africa U235
Zimbabwe U230
Zambia U235
Congo U234
Ghana U232
Algeria U231
Cameroon U232
Tunisia U232
Ivory Coast U232
Guinea U232
Sudan U231
Nigeria U235
Morocco U231
Mali U232