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Stadium Background

Zambia vs Comoros

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Maolida M.
55'
Chanda D.
57'
Sub
Simukonda D. In: Chisala W.
Out: Simukonda D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Zambia
30%
Draws
47%
Comoros
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Comoros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Zambia haven't matched Comoros's recent run of results.
  • Comoros are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Comoros arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Comoros, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Zambia Clean Sheet 12%
Comoros Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia Comoros
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.09 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations
Zambia vs Comoros
0:0
Jun 6, 2025 COSAFA Cup
Zambia vs Comoros
0:1
Jul 2, 2024 COSAFA Cup
Comoros vs Zambia
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Comoros vs Zambia
1:1
Jul 9, 2023 COSAFA Cup
Zambia vs Comoros
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia 11 / 100
Comoros 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia Comoros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comoros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comoros has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Comoros lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Zambia's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Zambia VS Comoros
0.43 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia

(Home)
31 Mar
Argentina
5 : 0
Zambia
29 Dec
Zambia
0 : 3
Morocco
26 Dec
Zambia
0 : 0
Comoros
22 Dec
Mali
1 : 1
Zambia
16 Dec
D.R. Congo
2 : 0
Zambia
Page 1 of 6

Comoros

(Away)
09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Comoros
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1
Comoros
31 Mar
Kazakhstan
1 : 0
Comoros
28 Mar
Namibia
1 : 0
Comoros
29 Dec
Comoros
0 : 0
Mali
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Mali 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
3 Comoros 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
4 Zambia 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 South Africa 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Angola 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Zimbabwe 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 3 3 0 0 8:4 9
2 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
3 Tanzania 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Uganda 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 D.R. Congo 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Benin 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Botswana 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Burkina Faso 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Sudan 3 1 0 2 1:5 3
4 Equatorial Guinea 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Cameroon 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
3 Mozambique 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Gabon 3 0 0 3 4:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams