Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Levy Mwanawasa Stadium

Ivory Coast

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zambia play Ivory Coast in the Africa Cup of Nations 2025. Ivory Coast are favorites here. Recently, Zambia averaged 1 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Ivory Coast averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Zambia won 2, Ivory Coast won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 15, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Zambia and 2.10 for Ivory Coast. This points to a Ivory Coast double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Zambia

15%

Draws

56%

Ivory Coast

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Zambia picked up more points recently compared to Ivory Coast.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 2.10 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%

Zambia Clean Sheet 10%

Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 21%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zambia	Ivory Coast
Matches Played	26	30
Wins	8	20
Draws	4	2
Losses	14	8
Goals Scored	1	1.73
Goals Conceded	1.58	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.33	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Zambia vs Ivory Coast

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Sep 6, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Ivory Coast vs Zambia

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Jun 17, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations

Zambia vs Ivory Coast

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Jun 3, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations

Ivory Coast vs Zambia

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Jun 19, 2019 Friendly International

Zambia vs Ivory Coast

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zambia Compare

Top Goalscorer Musonda K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Ivory Coast Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia 28 / 100

Ivory Coast 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zambia Ivory Coast

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast Win (2)

Secondary Pick Ivory Coast & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zambia attacking → ← attacking Ivory Coast

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia scored in 54% of their last 26 games.

Ivory Coast let in goals in 40% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Zambia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ivory Coast lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 62

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

2.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4