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Zambia W vs Angola W Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Jere S.
20' Event
Nkole J.
85' Event
Jere S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Zambia W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Zambia W
20%
Draws
29%
Angola W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zambia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Angola W haven't matched Zambia W's recent run of results.
  • Zambia W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Zambia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zambia W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zambia W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 68%
Angola W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia W Angola W
Matches Played 40 29
Wins 24 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.35 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2024 COSAFA Cup Women
Zambia W vs Angola W
3:0
Dec 5, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Zambia W vs Angola W
6:0
Nov 29, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Angola W vs Zambia W
0:6
Oct 8, 2023 COSAFA Cup Women
Zambia W vs Angola W
3:1
Apr 7, 2019 Olympic Games Women
Zambia W vs Angola W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zambia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jere S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nkole J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Angola W Compare

Top Goalscorer Luvunga S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia W 95 / 100
Angola W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia W Angola W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zambia W scored in 80% of their last 40 outings.

Angola W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Zambia W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zambia W VS Angola W
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia W

(Home)
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0
Egypt W
22 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
19 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 1
Zambia W
Page 1 of 8

Angola W

(Away)
24 Feb
Angola W
0 : 1
Malawi W
21 Feb
South Africa W
2 : 0
Angola W
18 Feb
Lesotho W
1 : 3
Angola W
28 Oct
Malawi W
2 : 0
Angola W
23 Oct
Angola W
0 : 0
Malawi W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 3 0 0 15:4 9
2 South Africa W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Eswatini W 3 1 0 2 2:12 3
4 Madagascar W 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Mozambique W 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Angola W 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 Comoros W 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zimbabwe W 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Botswana W 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Namibia W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Lesotho W 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2023 (Play Offs)