Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zambia W vs Botswana W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Polokwane
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Chanda R.
44' Event
Banda S.
70' Event
Mupopo K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Zambia W
35%
Draws
30%
Botswana W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Botswana W haven't matched Zambia W's recent run of results.
  • Zambia W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Zambia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zambia W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 68%
Botswana W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia W Botswana W
Matches Played 41 37
Wins 24 12
Draws 8 12
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.34 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 COSAFA Cup Women
Zambia W vs Botswana W
3:0
May 31, 2025 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs Botswana W
1:1
May 2, 2022 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs Botswana W
1:1
Apr 29, 2022 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs Botswana W
1:0
Nov 12, 2020 COSAFA Cup Women
Botswana W vs Zambia W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zambia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chanda R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Banda S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Botswana W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia W 86 / 100
Botswana W 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia W Botswana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (41 games).

Defensive concern: Botswana W conceded in 73% of 37 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Zambia W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zambia W VS Botswana W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 20%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia W

(Home)
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0
Egypt W
22 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
19 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 1
Zambia W
Page 1 of 9

Botswana W

(Away)
26 Sept
Botswana W
1 : 1
Namibia W
12 Apr
Saudi Arabia U20 W
0 : 3
Botswana W
10 Apr
Saudi Arabia W
1 : 1
Botswana W
24 Feb
Zimbabwe W
1 : 0
Botswana W
22 Feb
Botswana W
1 : 1
Eswatini W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Angola W 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Lesotho W 3 0 1 2 3:12 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Zimbabwe W 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Eswatini W 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Botswana W 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Namibia W 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Mozambique W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Madagascar W 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams