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Zambia W vs Comoros W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Hadharay N.
6' Event
Lubandji O.
Penalty Missed
6' Event
Mukoma F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 7-0, with Zambia W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Zambia W
15%
Draws
39%
Comoros W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zambia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zambia W come out ahead of Comoros W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Comoros W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Zambia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zambia W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 10%
Comoros W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia W Comoros W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 2
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 2.03 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.43 4.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2024 COSAFA Cup Women
Zambia W vs Comoros W
7:0
Oct 10, 2023 COSAFA Cup Women
Zambia W vs Comoros W
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zambia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukoma F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lubandji O.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Comoros W Compare

Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia W 10 / 100
Comoros W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia W Comoros W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comoros W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comoros W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Zambia W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Zambia W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zambia W VS Comoros W
0.88 Goals Scored 7.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia W

(Home)
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0
Egypt W
22 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
19 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 1
Zambia W
Page 1 of 6

Comoros W

(Away)
08 Jun
Comoros W
13 : 0
Sudan W
04 Jun
Sudan W
0 : 17
Comoros W
16 Apr
Tunisia W
2 : 1
Comoros W
14 Apr
Benin W
2 : 0
Comoros W
07 Apr
Lebanon W
4 : 0
Comoros W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Namibia W 3 2 0 1 9:1 6
3 Eswatini W 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Seychelles W 3 0 0 3 1:21 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 1 0 11:1 7
2 Botswana W 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
3 Madagascar W 3 1 1 1 5:2 4
4 Mauritius W 3 0 0 3 1:19 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 2 2 0 0 10:0 6
2 Comoros W 2 1 0 1 3:8 3
3 Angola W 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mozambique W 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Zimbabwe W 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
3 Lesotho W 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)