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Zambia W vs Egypt W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Mohamed A.
25' Event
Nachula R.
(Penalty)
32'
Sub
Ashraf T. In: Khairy L.
Out: Ashraf T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-0. The second leg ended 6-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Zambia W
15%
Draws
28%
Egypt W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zambia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Egypt W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Zambia W taking it.
  • Egypt W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zambia W, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zambia W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 68%
Egypt W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia W Egypt W
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Zambia W vs Egypt W
6:0
Sep 25, 2016 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs Egypt W
1:0
Sep 23, 2016 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs Egypt W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zambia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Banda B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Phiri E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Egypt W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia W 95 / 100
Egypt W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia W Egypt W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia W's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Egypt W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Egypt W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zambia W VS Egypt W
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia W

(Home)
08 Oct
Uganda W
2 : 1
Zambia W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0
Egypt W
22 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
Page 1 of 6

Egypt W

(Away)
05 Aug
Egypt W
2 : 6
Nigeria W
01 Aug
Egypt W
1 : 3
Malawi W
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0
Egypt W
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
08 Jul
Egypt W
0 : 1
Senegal W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 South Africa W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burkina Faso W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Tanzania W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Nigeria W 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Zambia W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
4 Egypt W 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Cape Verde W 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)