Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zambia W vs Egypt W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Mohamed A.
25' Event
Nachula R.
(Penalty)
32'
Sub
Ashraf T. In: Khairy L.
Out: Ashraf T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-0, with Zambia W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Zambia W
6%
Draws
4%
Egypt W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zambia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zambia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Zambia W taking it.
  • Zambia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zambia W, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zambia W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 68%
Egypt W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zambia W Egypt W
Matches Played 33 27
Wins 16 13
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Zambia W vs Egypt W
6:0
Sep 25, 2016 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs Egypt W
1:0
Sep 23, 2016 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs Egypt W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zambia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Banda B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Phiri E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Egypt W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zambia W 95 / 100
Egypt W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zambia W Egypt W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Egypt W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Zambia W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zambia W VS Egypt W
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia W

(Home)
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0
Egypt W
22 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
19 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 1
Zambia W
09 Jun
Zambia W
3 : 0
Zimbabwe W
06 Jun
Zambia W
2 : 1
Kenya W
Page 1 of 7

Egypt W

(Away)
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0
Egypt W
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
08 Jul
Egypt W
0 : 1
Senegal W
08 Jun
Egypt W
3 : 2
Tunisia W
05 Jun
Egypt W
2 : 1
Tunisia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco W11004:03
2Algeria W11002:03
3Senegal W10010:20
4Kenya W10010:40
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ivory Coast W11004:13
2Tanzania W11002:13
3South Africa W10011:20
4Burkina Faso W10011:40
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zambia W11006:03
2Malawi W11003:23
3Nigeria W10012:30
4Egypt W10010:60
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ghana W00000:00
2Cameroon W00000:00
3Mali W00000:00
4Cape Verde W00000:00
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women (Play Offs)