Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Zambia W have averaged 1.92 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Uganda W's 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. Past meetings favor Uganda W slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.38, favoring Zambia W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Uganda W haven't matched Zambia W's recent run of results.
- Model gives Zambia W a 43% chance of winning this.
- Zambia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Uganda W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Uganda W have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zambia W | Uganda W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 33 |
| Wins | 20 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.92 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zambia W scored in 76% of their last 37 games.
Uganda W let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Away concern: Uganda W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
