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Zamora vs Cacereno

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Marquez E.
46'
Sub
Barrio J. In: Hernandez E.
Out: Barrio J.
46'
Sub
Abde In: Buron L.
Out: Abde

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Zamora and Cacereno finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cacereno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zamora
20%
Draws
47%
Cacereno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cacereno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Zamora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cacereno's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Zamora Clean Sheet 23%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamora Cacereno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Zamora vs Cacereno
1:2
Dec 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Cacereno vs Zamora
0:2
Aug 17, 2025 Trofeo Colombino
Cacereno vs Zamora
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamora Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Cacereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ajenjo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamora 29 / 100
Cacereno 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamora Cacereno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cacereno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zamora's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Zamora stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Cacereno has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zamora VS Cacereno
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamora

(Home)
26 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Zamora
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
Lugo
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2
Zamora
06 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
UD Logrones
29 Aug
Zamora
1 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 6

Cacereno

(Away)
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0
Arenas Getxo
16 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Cacereno
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
09 Sept
Cacereno
2 : 0
UD San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife 38 22 10 6 62:24 76
2 Celta Vigo B 38 18 11 9 61:48 65
3 Zamora 38 17 10 11 53:42 61
4 Ponferradina 38 17 9 12 43:33 60
5 Real Madrid B 38 16 10 12 61:52 58
6 Pontevedra 38 14 16 8 49:31 58
7 Barakaldo 38 15 13 10 51:38 58
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38 15 11 12 53:49 56
9 Lugo 38 13 14 11 36:40 53
10 AD Merida 38 14 10 14 47:53 52
11 Arenas Getxo 38 15 7 16 46:55 52
12 Racing Club Ferrol 38 13 10 15 41:47 49
13 Ath Bilbao B 38 13 10 15 38:46 49
14 Real Aviles 38 11 11 16 55:67 44
15 Cacereno 38 10 14 14 42:49 44
16 CF Talavera 38 11 10 17 38:47 43
17 Ourense CF 38 10 13 15 44:47 43
18 Guadalajara 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Osasuna B 38 10 10 18 28:42 40
20 Arenteiro 38 6 10 22 29:53 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)