Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zamora vs Monagas

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Agustín Tovar, Barinas
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Jimenez N.
9' Event
Jaramillo F.
Own Goal
30'
Farias E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Zamora and Monagas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zamora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Zamora
15%
Draws
64%
Monagas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monagas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monagas come out ahead of Zamora on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Monagas taking it.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Zamora Clean Sheet 11%
Monagas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamora Monagas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Zamora
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Monagas
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Zamora
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Monagas
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Monagas
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamora Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinal F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Renteria M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamora 10 / 100
Monagas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamora Monagas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monagas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zamora found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Monagas has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Zamora has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zamora VS Monagas
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamora

(Home)
16 Sept
Monagas
1 : 0
Zamora
13 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
Trujillanos
09 Sept
Real Frontera
0 : 2
Zamora
05 Sept
Portuguesa
1 : 1
Zamora
02 Sept
Zamora
2 : 5
Dep. Tachira
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Monagas

(Away)
16 Sept
Monagas
1 : 0
Zamora
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Monagas
5 : 1
Bolivar
06 Sept
Monagas
0 : 1
Metropolitanos
03 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 3
Monagas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo La Guaira 13 7 6 0 15:6 27
2 Metropolitanos 13 7 4 2 17:10 25
3 Dep. Tachira 13 7 3 3 17:12 24
4 Universidad Central 13 7 2 4 24:20 23
5 Portuguesa 13 5 5 3 20:12 20
6 Estudiantes Merida 13 6 2 5 21:18 20
7 Carabobo 13 4 7 2 23:14 19
8 Academia Puerto Cabello 13 4 5 4 16:14 17
9 Zamora 13 4 5 4 14:14 17
10 Caracas 13 3 6 4 15:17 15
11 Rayo Zuliano 13 4 2 7 13:23 14
12 Monagas 13 3 2 8 14:22 11
13 Academia Anzoategui 13 2 3 8 15:25 9
14 Trujillanos 13 0 4 9 9:26 4
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)